Tamil Nadu, Assam, Kerala and Puducherry saw a single-phase of polling, while Bengal went to vote in two phases.
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is headed for a massive win in West Bengal, while the DMK-led alliance is set for comfortable win in Tamil Nadu, Today’s Chanakya exit poll predicted on Thursday. The pollster predicted a victory for BJP-led NDA in Assam and an edge for the Congress-led UDF in Kerala, with the LDF trailing closely.
Axis My India’s exit polls for Bengal will not be published as its head Pradeep Gupta said voters are not forthcoming enough for the agency to release an exit poll.
Other exit polls published on Wednesday suggested the NDA is unlikely to make a significant impact in Kerala, with most projections keeping it below double digits and JVC offering the highest estimate at 3–7 seats. In Tamil Nadu, the DMK-led alliance appears to have the upper hand, with most agencies projecting 122–145 seats, while the NDA trails and TVK emerges as a key player with widely varying estimates.
In the West Bengal exit polls for 2026, projections for the BJP vary widely across agencies. Peoples Pulse estimates the party could secure 95–110 seats, while Matrize places it higher at 146–161. P-Marq gives an even broader range of 150–175, and Poll Diary predicts 142–171 seats. JVC forecasts 138–159 seats, whereas Janmat Polls offers a more conservative estimate of 80–90. Axis My India has not released its numbers for the state.
As exit polls for the Tamil Nadu Assembly elections triggered political reactions, Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) leader and Erode West candidate K.K. Anand Mohan on Tuesday expressed confidence that the party will secure a clear majority.
Speaking to ANI, he dismissed the relevance of exit poll predictions and said TVK founder Thalapathy Vijay would form the government on May 4 with over 150 seats. “We do not care about exit polls. Vijay will form the government with a single majority,” he said.
Most pollsters projected a close contest between the TMC and BJP in West Bengal, but Axis My India chose not to release its forecast. Its chief, Pradeep Gupta, said the decision was driven by a lack of adequate voter responses.
“No one is ready to talk to anyone in the context of elections. So, as long as our sample is not representative, on the basis of a 20-30 per cent sample, we do not believe it is right to predict any number. For that, we will try once again Thursday. Maybe now that the elections have been held, people will be more relaxed,” he added.
According to Matrize, there is a neck-and-neck contest between the TMC and the BJP, with the Mamata Banerjee-led party expected to secure between 125 and 140 seats, while the BJP could surpass it with 146 to 161 seats. As per P-Marq, the TMC’s tally could be lower at 118–138 seats, compared to the BJP’s 150–175. A party needs 148 seats to form a government in the state. Poll Diary and JVC have also predicted more seats for the BJP in Bengal, while Peoples Pulse and Janmat Polls give the TMC an edge.
Also Read | Axis My India exit poll: What projections for Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Assam election results show
What Today’s Chanakya predicted for five assemblies?
The Today’s Chanakya poll on Thursday predicted that the BJP would win big in West Bengal and Assam, while the DMK would return to power in Tamil Nadu. It also predicted a tight race in Kerala, forecasting 69 seats for the Congress-led UDF and 64 seats for the ruling LDF with a margin of error of nine seats. In West Bengal, Today’s Chanakya forecast 192 seats for the BJP and 100 for the TMC in West Bengal with a margin of error of 11 seats. West Bengal has a total of 294 seats with the majority mark being 148.
Big surprise in Tamil Nadu?
While other pollsters such as Peoples Pulse, Matrize and P-Marq predicted a DMK government in Tamil Nadu, Axis My India and JVC have offered a bold forecast. JVC projected that the NDA alliance, which includes the AIADMK and the BJP, will emerge as the single largest formation in the state. However, Axis My India made the most striking prediction, saying that actor Vijay’s party, TVK, on its debut, could win between 98 and 120 seats in Tamil Nadu, becoming the single-largest party.
A UDF comeback in Kerala on cards
Exit polls for Kerala indicated a clear edge for the UDF across most agencies, though the margins vary. Surveys by Peoples Pulse, Matrize, P-Marq, Poll Diary and Axis My India broadly projected the UDF in the range of around 70 to 90 seats, indicating a strong possibility of it returning to power.
The ruling LDF is expected to trail, with estimates largely placing it between the mid-50s and mid-60s, though a few projections suggest it could dip slightly lower. Meanwhile, the NDA continued to remain a marginal player in the state, with most polls giving it anywhere between zero and seven seats. Overall, the trends point towards a likely UDF victory, but with enough variation to keep some uncertainty until the final results are declared.
NDA to claim govt in Assam
Exit poll projections for Assam’s 126-seat assembly indicate a strong advantage for the NDA, with most agencies placing it comfortably ahead, often near or above the majority mark. Estimates for the NDA range broadly from the high 60s to around 100 seats, with several polls clustering in the 85–100 range. The Congress-led alliance is projected to trail significantly, generally falling between the low 20s and around 40 seats. AIUDF is expected to secure only a marginal presence, typically under 5 seats. Others remain negligible across polls. Overall, the trend suggests a clear NDA edge with limited competition from opposition parties.
Puducherry exit polls give NDA clear edge
Exit polls for Puducherry’s 30-seat assembly indicate a clear advantage for the NDA, with most agencies projecting it in the lead, often nearing or crossing the halfway mark. The DMK-Congress alliance is expected to trail with a modest seat share, while TVK remains a minor player with limited impact. Others could secure a small but potentially influential number of seats. Overall, the trend points to an NDA edge, though the presence of smaller parties may play a role in tight scenarios.
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Axis My India’s exit polls for Bengal will not be published as its head Pradeep Gupta said voters are not forthcoming enough for the agency to release an exit poll.
Other exit polls published on Wednesday suggested the NDA is unlikely to make a significant impact in Kerala, with most projections keeping it below double digits and JVC offering the highest estimate at 3–7 seats. In Tamil Nadu, the DMK-led alliance appears to have the upper hand, with most agencies projecting 122–145 seats, while the NDA trails and TVK emerges as a key player with widely varying estimates.
In the West Bengal exit polls for 2026, projections for the BJP vary widely across agencies. Peoples Pulse estimates the party could secure 95–110 seats, while Matrize places it higher at 146–161. P-Marq gives an even broader range of 150–175, and Poll Diary predicts 142–171 seats. JVC forecasts 138–159 seats, whereas Janmat Polls offers a more conservative estimate of 80–90. Axis My India has not released its numbers for the state.
As exit polls for the Tamil Nadu Assembly elections triggered political reactions, Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) leader and Erode West candidate K.K. Anand Mohan on Tuesday expressed confidence that the party will secure a clear majority.
Speaking to ANI, he dismissed the relevance of exit poll predictions and said TVK founder Thalapathy Vijay would form the government on May 4 with over 150 seats. “We do not care about exit polls. Vijay will form the government with a single majority,” he said.
Most pollsters projected a close contest between the TMC and BJP in West Bengal, but Axis My India chose not to release its forecast. Its chief, Pradeep Gupta, said the decision was driven by a lack of adequate voter responses.
“No one is ready to talk to anyone in the context of elections. So, as long as our sample is not representative, on the basis of a 20-30 per cent sample, we do not believe it is right to predict any number. For that, we will try once again Thursday. Maybe now that the elections have been held, people will be more relaxed,” he added.
According to Matrize, there is a neck-and-neck contest between the TMC and the BJP, with the Mamata Banerjee-led party expected to secure between 125 and 140 seats, while the BJP could surpass it with 146 to 161 seats. As per P-Marq, the TMC’s tally could be lower at 118–138 seats, compared to the BJP’s 150–175. A party needs 148 seats to form a government in the state. Poll Diary and JVC have also predicted more seats for the BJP in Bengal, while Peoples Pulse and Janmat Polls give the TMC an edge.
Also Read | Axis My India exit poll: What projections for Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Assam election results show
What Today’s Chanakya predicted for five assemblies?
The Today’s Chanakya poll on Thursday predicted that the BJP would win big in West Bengal and Assam, while the DMK would return to power in Tamil Nadu. It also predicted a tight race in Kerala, forecasting 69 seats for the Congress-led UDF and 64 seats for the ruling LDF with a margin of error of nine seats. In West Bengal, Today’s Chanakya forecast 192 seats for the BJP and 100 for the TMC in West Bengal with a margin of error of 11 seats. West Bengal has a total of 294 seats with the majority mark being 148.
Big surprise in Tamil Nadu?
While other pollsters such as Peoples Pulse, Matrize and P-Marq predicted a DMK government in Tamil Nadu, Axis My India and JVC have offered a bold forecast. JVC projected that the NDA alliance, which includes the AIADMK and the BJP, will emerge as the single largest formation in the state. However, Axis My India made the most striking prediction, saying that actor Vijay’s party, TVK, on its debut, could win between 98 and 120 seats in Tamil Nadu, becoming the single-largest party.
A UDF comeback in Kerala on cards
Exit polls for Kerala indicated a clear edge for the UDF across most agencies, though the margins vary. Surveys by Peoples Pulse, Matrize, P-Marq, Poll Diary and Axis My India broadly projected the UDF in the range of around 70 to 90 seats, indicating a strong possibility of it returning to power.
The ruling LDF is expected to trail, with estimates largely placing it between the mid-50s and mid-60s, though a few projections suggest it could dip slightly lower. Meanwhile, the NDA continued to remain a marginal player in the state, with most polls giving it anywhere between zero and seven seats. Overall, the trends point towards a likely UDF victory, but with enough variation to keep some uncertainty until the final results are declared.
NDA to claim govt in Assam
Exit poll projections for Assam’s 126-seat assembly indicate a strong advantage for the NDA, with most agencies placing it comfortably ahead, often near or above the majority mark. Estimates for the NDA range broadly from the high 60s to around 100 seats, with several polls clustering in the 85–100 range. The Congress-led alliance is projected to trail significantly, generally falling between the low 20s and around 40 seats. AIUDF is expected to secure only a marginal presence, typically under 5 seats. Others remain negligible across polls. Overall, the trend suggests a clear NDA edge with limited competition from opposition parties.
Puducherry exit polls give NDA clear edge
Exit polls for Puducherry’s 30-seat assembly indicate a clear advantage for the NDA, with most agencies projecting it in the lead, often nearing or crossing the halfway mark. The DMK-Congress alliance is expected to trail with a modest seat share, while TVK remains a minor player with limited impact. Others could secure a small but potentially influential number of seats. Overall, the trend points to an NDA edge, though the presence of smaller parties may play a role in tight scenarios.
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Apr 30, 2026 9:33:10 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: TMC begins protest outside strong room, Mamata to join protest
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: After levelling postal ballot fraud charges, TMC said party leaders Kunal Ghosh and Shashi Panja have begun a protest outside Netaji Indoor Stadium. The party further said chief minister Mamata Banerjee will visit the spot and take stock of the situation. “The people of Bengal are watching this daylight robbery,” the TMC said in a post on X.
Apr 30, 2026 9:25:58 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: TMC claims BJP opened ballot boxes in strongroom in ‘gross electoral fraud’
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Trinamool Congress on Thursday shared a CCTV footage from the inside of a strong room in Kolkata, claiming that the BJP, along with the EC, were opening ballot boxes without the presence of any relevant party stakeholders. “This is gross electoral fraud being committed openly with the full knowledge and protection of the Election Commission,” TMC said in a post on X.
Apr 30, 2026 9:10:30 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: TMC leaders rush to Kolkata strongroom, alleges ‘suspicious activities’
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: TMC leaders rushed to Kolkata strongroom where EVMs were stored alleging suspicious activities. In an interview to ANI, TMC leader Kunal Ghosh said, “There is no transparency. They (BJP) are sending their people inside the strong room and tampering with the postal ballots. Where did the postal ballots come from? Are these even genuine postal ballots or something else. It is being done in front of us. It is not secured…We are sitting on a protest…The party will take further action regarding this incident.”
Apr 30, 2026 9:02:14 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Pollsters must be asked without methodology, says Yogendra Yadav
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: While reacting to the exit poll results, political activist and psephologist Yogendra Yadav said, “Exit polls have become a joke in our country. Pollsters must be asked about their methodology before believing any predictions.”
Apr 30, 2026 8:38:34 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: CNN-News18 Vote Vibe predicts tight contest in Bengal, BJP to have edge
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: CNN-News18 Vote Vibe has predicted a BJP win for West Bengal, projecting it to win between 143 and 163 seats. The TMC is expected to win between 127 and 147 seats, keeping the contest wide open. With the majority mark standing at 148 seats, the overlapping seat ranges of the two principal contenders signal a potential hung assembly.
Apr 30, 2026 8:31:46 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: TMC leader Kunal Ghosh says EC officials opened ballot boxes
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: TMC leader Kunal Ghosh has questioned that the Election Commission officials over opening ballot boxes in the absence of stakeholders. “They assured us that it will not be repeated,” he said.
Apr 30, 2026 8:09:55 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: TMC leaders sit on dharna in Kolkata, allege opening of ballot boxes
TMC leaders Kunal Ghosh and Shashi Panja sit on dharna outside Netaji Indoor Stadium in Kolkata. They alleged that the BJP, EC office were opening ballot boxes in strong room without presence of relevant party stakeholders, PTI reported.
Apr 30, 2026 8:03:25 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: EC compromised, will continue efforts till CEC removed: Jairam Ramesh
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Congress leader Jairam Ramesh has alleged that the EC has never been “more compromised” than it is under CEC Gyanesh Kumar, who, he claimed, acted as a player in the just-concluded state assembly polls. Ramesh asserted that the Opposition would continue its efforts to get Kumar removed from the post of CEC. He also alleged that the right to vote was under threat in the country and it was time to make it a fundamental right for citizens instead of a constitutional right.
Apr 30, 2026 7:44:57 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: AIADMK broke exit polls in every elections, says Palaniswami
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: With exit polls suggesting a return of DMK in the assembly elections, AIADMK chief Edappadi K Palaniswami said his party broke such predictions in the past and rose by leaps and bounds in every electoral exercise.
In his first response to the poll predictions, the AIADMK general secretary said “such success (ensured in the past) will definitely continue in this election too”. He also alleged that the DMK is “systematically” spreading false information in the name of exit polls.
Apr 30, 2026 7:39:47 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Why Axis My India won’t release Bengal exit poll results
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Axis My India will not release the exit poll projections for West Bengal, the pollster founder Pradeep Gupta has announced. The reason, as per Gupta, emanates from reasons affecting the methodology of sampling which leave the survey incomplete. The pollster said the high degree of hesitancy and refusal rate “exceeded historical norms and introduces a high degree of non-response bias”. Read more
Apr 30, 2026 6:48:16 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Today’s Chanakya’s seat projection for Bengal
Here is a party-wise breakdown of seat projection for Bengal:
- BJP 192 ± 11 Seats
- TMC+ 100 ± 11 Seats
- Others 2 ± 2 Seats
Apr 30, 2026 6:45:38 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: BJP set to get over 200 seats in Bengal, says Today’s Chanakya
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: The BJP is set for a massive win in Bengal, getting 192 (± 11) seats, while Mamata-led TMC winning 100 (± 11) seats, Today’s Chanakya predicted on Thursday.
Apr 30, 2026 6:09:52 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Today’s Chanakya predicts massive win for DMK+ in Tamil Nadu
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Today’s Chanakya on Thursday projected another term for Tamil Nadu chief minister MK Stalin. The DMK-led bloc is expected to get over 125 seats, while the AIADMK-led alliance is expected to get around 45 seats.
Here is an alliance-wise breakdown:
- AIADMK: 45 ± 11 (Plus / Minus 11) Seats
- DMK: 125 ± 11 (Plus / Minus 11) Seats
- TVK: 63 ± 11 (Plus / Minus 11) Seats
- Others: 1 Seat
Apr 30, 2026 5:55:45 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Party-wise breakdown of voter percentage in Assam
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: While Today’s Chanakya has predicted a massive lead for the BJP in Assam, a breakdown of voter percentage shows Himanta’s party receiving 50% of the votes. Here is a breakdown of votes in Assam:
- BJP+ 50% ± 3%
- Cong+ 38% ± 3%
- Others 12% ± 3%
Apr 30, 2026 5:50:48 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Today’s Chanakya exit poll predicts edge for UDF in Kerala
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Today’s Chanakya has predicted an edge for the UDF in Assam, with the LDF trailing closely in the state elections.
Here is a breakdown of the seat tally in Kerala:
- UDF: 69 seats (± 9)
- LDF: 64 seats (± 9)
- NDA: 7 seats (±4)
- Others: 0-1
Apr 30, 2026 5:46:24 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Breakdown of party-wise voter percentage in Kerala
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: A breakdown of party-wise voter projection in Kerala as per Today’s Chanakya:
- UDF 40% ± 3%
- BJP+ 20% ± 3%
- LDF 38% ± 3%
- Others 2% ± 1%
Apr 30, 2026 5:37:36 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Today’s Chanakya exit poll predicts massive win for BJP in Assam
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Today’s Chanakya exit poll has shown a massive lead for the BJP in Assam assembly elections. While the BJP-led alliance is expected to get around 102 seats (± 9), Congress-led bloc is expected to get 23 seats (± 9). Others are expected to get one seat.
Apr 30, 2026 5:18:52 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: TMC will return to power winning over 226 seats in Bengal, says Mamata
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: West Bengal chief minister Mamata Banerjee has said that the TMC will return to power by winning more than 226 of 294 assembly seats in Bengal. She had urged TMC workers to stand guard, adding “I will guard the EVMs myself, if need be.”
Apr 30, 2026 5:14:29 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Mamata slams exit poll results, says ‘numbers meant to demoralise TMC’
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: West Bengal chief minister Mamata Banerjee on Thursday rejected exit poll results and said the numbers were meant to demoralise TMC workers. Mamata said the post-poll projections were fabricated, adding that the exit polls were from the BJP’s office.
Apr 30, 2026 4:57:35 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Repolling request made for 77 booths in Bengal, EC to take call
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: The Election Commission of India is examining demands for repolling in 77 booths across four seats in South 24 Parganas, where polling was held on April 29. An EC official said that the poll body has received a total of 32 complaints from Falta, 29 from Diamond Harbour, 13 from Magrahat and three from Budge Budge. Read more
Apr 30, 2026 4:42:29 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Pradhan confident of BJP’s victory is Assam and Bengal
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Union Minister Dharmendra Pradhan on Thursday said the BJP would retain power in Assam and expressed confidence that there would be a change of government in West Bengal. A majority of pollsters have shown a lead for the BJP-led NDA alliance.
The minister also expressed confidence that the BJP-led alliance would emerge strongly in Kerala and Tamil Nadu. The counting of votes for all five assemblies will take place on May 4.
Apr 30, 2026 4:32:48 PM IST
In case you missed: Takeaways from exit polls from West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, Kerala
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: The exit poll projections for four states and a Union Territory have shown mixed results: continuity in Assam, possible change in West Bengal and Kerala, and a surprise entrant in Tamil Nadu. West Bengal has been a tough state to crack both for chief minister Mamata Banerjee’s rivals, and equally difficult for pollsters. Read more
Apr 30, 2026 4:25:25 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Security tightened in strong rooms in Bengal ahead of results
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Security has been tightened in the strong rooms after the second phase of elections concluded in West Bengal. The counting is set to take place on May 4. The exist poll results have shown BJP at an advantage in Bengal with few pollsters giving
Apr 30, 2026 4:18:00 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Eknath Shinde says everyone believes in PM Modi’s leadership
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Maharashtra deputy chief minister Eknath Shinde has reacted to exit poll projections saying, “Everyone across states believes in Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s leadership and vision for development.” The exit poll projections have shown the BJP-led NDA leading Assam, West Bengal and Puducherry.
Apr 30, 2026 4:02:48 PM IST
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Today’s Chanakya exit poll predictions to be released today
Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Today’s Chanakya, another key pollster, will be releasing its predictions for the assembly elections in Tamil Nadu, West Bengal, Assam and Kerala.
As per the schedule released by the data agency, the exit polls will be go live from 5pm onwards.
